Arena Group Holdings Stock Performance

AREN Stock  USD 3.12  0.23  6.87%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.11, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Arena Group will likely underperform. At this point, Arena Group Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to confirm Arena Group's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Arena Group Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Arena Group Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.21
Five Day Return
(0.89)
Year To Date Return
(15.19)
Ten Year Return
(4.83)
All Time Return
(45.62)
Last Split Factor
1:22
Ex Dividend Date
2019-08-06
Last Split Date
2022-02-09
1
The Arena Group brings BIKE, TransWorld and Snowboarder back to print - Stock Titan
12/03/2025
2
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12/29/2025
3
Digital Media Stocks To Add to Your Watchlist - January 12th - MarketBeat
01/12/2026
4
The Arena Group Stock Price Down 6.5 percent - Time to Sell - MarketBeat
02/06/2026
5
Is The Arena Group Holdings Inc. a top pick in the sector - 2025 Trade Ideas Consistent Profit Focused Trading Strategies - mfd.ru
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow9.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.2 M

Arena Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  381.00  in Arena Group Holdings on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (44.00) from holding Arena Group Holdings or give up 11.55% of portfolio value over 90 days. Arena Group Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.0358% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Arena, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Arena Group is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.36 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Arena Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Arena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.12 90 days 3.12 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arena Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Arena Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Arena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.11 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Arena Group will likely underperform. Additionally Arena Group Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Arena Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arena Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arena Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arena Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.387.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.445.489.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.083.787.82
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.9212.0013.32
Details

Arena Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arena Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arena Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arena Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arena Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Arena Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arena Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arena Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arena Group Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arena Group Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Arena Group Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Arena Group Holdings currently holds 123.69 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.5, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Arena Group Holdings has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Arena Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 125.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (100.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 77.17 M.
Arena Group Holdings currently holds about 13.3 M in cash with (16.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.74.
Arena Group Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 79.0% of Arena Group shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is The Arena Group Holdings Inc. a top pick in the sector - 2025 Trade Ideas Consistent Profit Focused Trading Strategies - mfd.ru

Arena Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arena Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arena Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arena Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.4 M

Arena Group Fundamentals Growth

Arena Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Arena Group, and Arena Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Arena Stock performance.

About Arena Group Performance

By examining Arena Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Arena Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Arena Group is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 233.35  305.04 
Return On Tangible Assets(2.70)(2.57)
Return On Capital Employed(1.53)(1.46)
Return On Assets(1.00)(0.95)
Return On Equity 0.70  1.29 

Things to note about Arena Group Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arena Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Arena Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arena Group Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arena Group Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Arena Group Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Arena Group Holdings currently holds 123.69 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.5, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Arena Group Holdings has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Arena Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 125.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (100.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 77.17 M.
Arena Group Holdings currently holds about 13.3 M in cash with (16.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.74.
Arena Group Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 79.0% of Arena Group shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is The Arena Group Holdings Inc. a top pick in the sector - 2025 Trade Ideas Consistent Profit Focused Trading Strategies - mfd.ru
Evaluating Arena Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Arena Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Arena Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Arena Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Arena Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Arena Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Arena Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Arena Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Arena Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Arena Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Arena Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Arena Group Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Arena Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Arena Group Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Arena Group Holdings Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arena Group Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Will Movies & Entertainment sector continue expanding? Could Arena diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arena Group. If investors know Arena will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Arena Group data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
0.83
Revenue Per Share
3.254
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.656
Return On Assets
0.2186
Investors evaluate Arena Group Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Arena Group's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Arena Group's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Arena Group's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Arena Group represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Arena Group's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.